DAX Technical Analysis Articles

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Perhaps 13,300 is too ambitious for the DAX

Perhaps 13,300 is too ambitious for the DAX

Perhaps 13,300 is too ambitious for the DAX? We’ve made a number of attempts at breaking higher, some attempts actually pierced the level; but resistance is a zone and not a specific price point. We can clearly see some resistance here. So far, the German benchmark index has weathered the historically difficult month of September well. But there are increasing signs of weaker prices soon, so we should probably be cautious going forward.

Most traders are on the lookout for signs of whether the economic recovery will continue or lose momentum in view of the corona-positive tests that have recently increased again. So in that case, pay particular attention to the ZEW index, which is presented later this morning. Experts assume that the barometer fell slightly again in September. However, the current situation should be assessed better than in August. 

DAX 30 Review From Last Session

During the last session, we saw the DAX 30 find a session high of 13340 and a session low of 13143 giving us a range of 197 points compared to the average daily range of 279. At the close of play last session, the market closed at 13170 which was 889 points above the 200EMA and 340 points above the 50EMA.

DAX Trading Strategy

This image shows the DTI trading strategy (that you can learn more about on the ‘Dax Trading Strategy’ page) for yesterday’s session and i’ve included the notes. This strategy starts trading around 9am. Notice that the strategy offered a couple of signals very early? I didn’t take any of those because I missed them, but congratulations to those that did! The rest of the signals we ignored until the afternoon because the market has pierced the deviation low (the lower band). Once the deviation low is pierced, I want to see the market retrace up to vwap (the middle band). In the afternoon session I actually took a trade without retracing back up to vwap – this was not a valid setup, so I made a mistake. Luckily for me, no capital was lost; the trade closed out at breakeven.

This is just one of the strategies. I use it for FTSE too and there is another main strategy I use to provide more signals.

DAX Trading Signal

Where Is The DAX Heading?

The DAX is still currently Bullish, but the market is looking more choppy and more ‘sideways’.

The DAX still shows a progressive series of higher highs and higher lows. The trend defining level in the short term is currently 13095, so the market remains bullish above that level. In order for the market to remain bullish, we need to take out 13319. I will again be looking to use the DAX trading strategy to provide some useful setups today

DAX Index Key Levels

Moving over to the key levels to watch today, watch out for the previous session Point of Control (POC) at 13185 and the previous session Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) at 13204. The value area high (VAH) is currently 13212 and the value area low (VAL) is currently 13165.

DAX Technical Indicators

IndicatorValue
RSI54
StochasticK: 57 and D: 59
MACD OSMA-1
Point of Control (POC)13185
Value Area High (VAH)13212
Value Area Low (VAL)13165
The DAX Pivot13218
The DAX R213414
The DAX S213021
Daily 5 EMA13147
Daily 8 EMA13129
Daily 50 EMA12830
Daily 200 EMA12281
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DAX targets 13421 POC

DAX targets 13421 POC

The DAX targets 13421 POC (point of control) as it builds on last week’s bullish momentum. The global economy is rebounding quite strongly from the worrying recession in the second quarter, thanks to the reopening of economies and also the second virus waves not having as negative an impact as feared (assuming that this is not just a ‘calm before the storm’ phase). We are in Q3 now and the most likely threats of a downside scenario will come from Brexit [again], China vs US tensions and a stronger virus outbreak in the colder months.

DAX 30 Review From Last Session

During the last session, we saw the DAX 30 reach a session high of 13257 and a session low of 13111 giving us a range of just 146 points compared to the average daily range of 283. At the close of play last session, the market closed at 13183 which was 910 points above the 200EMA and 362 points above the 50EMA.

DAX Outlook and Bias

The DAX is currently Bullish.

The DAX Index index is currently showing a progressive series of higher highs and higher lows. The trend defining level is currently 13095, so the market remains bullish above that level. In order for the market to remain bullish, we need to take out 13319. I will again be looking to use the DAX trading strategy to provide some useful setups today. To get access to those levels and entries, or to use the strategy, then check out the members site for more details.

DAX 30 Key Levels

Moving on to the key levels to watch today, watch out for the previous session Point of Control (POC) at 13191 and the previous session Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) at 13179. The value area high (VAH) is currently 13207 and the value area low (VAL) is currently 13153.

DAX targets 13421 POC

DAX Technical Indicators

IndicatorValue
RSI57
StochasticK: 74 and D: 61
MACD OSMA6
Point of Control (POC)13191
Value Area High (VAH)13207
Value Area Low (VAL)13153
The DAX Pivot13184
The DAX R213329
The DAX S213038
Daily 5 EMA13178
Daily 8 EMA13144
Daily 50 EMA12821
Daily 200 EMA12273

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DAX To Reach Pre Corona Levels

DAX To Reach Pre Corona Levels

The German DAX to reach pre corona levels? It seems that way! That’s the most likely outcome of the recent rally in my opinion. Good morning traders, it’s Thursday the 10th of September and time for today’s German DAX 30 analysis.

DAX 30 Review From Last Session

During the last session, we saw the DAX 30 find a session high of 13316 and a session low of 12888 giving us a range of 428 points compared to the average daily range of 295. These numbers are pretty high suggesting we have decent momentum in the market, which is perfect for our trading strategy. At the close of play last session, the market closed at 13256 which was 1001 points above the 200EMA and 465 points above the 50EMA. The main risk to continued momentum today is the usual quietness in the build-up to the ECB meeting. I doubt very much that this meeting will be eventful, so perhaps the market will agree with me. I do not expect any material changes to the ECB’s policy stance. But I will listen carefully to ECB president Lagarde’s answers regarding any questions on the Federal Reserve’s new average inflation targeting, although I expect her just to say the ECB has ‘taken note of the Fed’s decision’ and that the ECB will ‘not make pre-emptive conclusions’ of its own review. Snore!

What Is The DAX 30 Doing Today?

The DAX is currently Bullish.

The DAX 30 Index index is currently showing a progressive series of higher highs and higher lows. The trend defining level is currently 12853, so the market remains bullish above that level. In order for the market to remain bullish, we need to take out 13319. I will again be looking to use the DAX trading strategy to provide some useful setups today. We have a classical situation on the daily chart whereby the 5EMA is above the 8EMA, the 8EMA is also above the 50EMA and finally, the 50EMA is above the 200EMA. That’s a very bullish market, the first sign of a turn could be when the 5EMA breaks below the 8EMA.

DAX 30 Key Levels

Taking a look at the key levels to watch today, watch out for the previous session Point of Control (POC) at 13085 and the previous session Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) at 13133. The value area high (VAH) is currently 13217 and the value area low (VAL) is currently 12891.

DAX To Reach Pre Corona Levels

DAX Technical Indicators

IndicatorValue
RSI56
StochasticK: 64 and D: 52
MACD OSMA1
Point of Control (POC)13085
Value Area High (VAH)13217
Value Area Low (VAL)12891
The DAX Pivot13154
The DAX R213582
The DAX S212725
Daily 5 EMA13134
Daily 8 EMA13107
Daily 50 EMA12791
Daily 200 EMA12255

Economic Calendar

To keep up with the economic calendar and the latest price action, click this link to open up the DAX chart. Here are the most important announcements for today

economic calendar

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DAX Trading Strategy

As for my index trading; during the last trading session I took a total of 5 trades (2 DAX trades and 3 FTSE trades). Breaking down my DAX trades, 1 was from the DAX trading strategy (DTI) and 1 was from the regular morning DAX signal. And my FTSE trades; 2 were from the FTSE trading strategy (Using the DTI) and 1 was from the regular morning FTSE signal. Overall, I hit 2 winners, 2 losers, and closed one trade early. This gave me a total profit of +5.48% for the day (including a trade I closed around 8pm). This translated to literally hundreds of points! If you image trading at just £1 a point, it’s a good day!

To keep a track of the trading results, you can read the dax trading spreadsheet. In order to get access to the signals and to the strategy, you will need to be a member of the site. Find out more about membership.

Develop Your Trading Business

TheDaxTrader.co.uk provides top quality DAX Analysis articles every day cover various topics of technical analysis from technical indicators to naked price action. We want to help you learn to trade the DAX better. We study market geometry and share our outlooks. If you want to learn more about how we trade, you can become a member today and get access to our DAX trading strategy. We trade the strategy every day and this is where we generate our DAX signals. So come and learn the strategy for yourself.

Perhaps you want to learn how to become a signal provider for yourself? If so, learn about how to send trading signals from Metatrader 4 to Telegram. We have produced an excellent piece of software will help you do exactly that. To learn more about the DAX, visit the Wikipedia page, you will find we are mentioned there.

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DAX Technical Analysis Articles

These are daily DAX analysis articles. I have been watching the German DAX index every day since February 2014, when I quit my job to become a full-time trader. During my quest to become a professional market analyst and trader, I learnt as much about technical analysis as I could. The DAX is my favourite equity index to trade because it responds well to technical analysis tools such as market profile, swing analysis, volume profile, RSI divergence and various other technical indicators. 

dax analysis

Effective DAX Technical Analysis Techniques

The most effective technique to improve your own DAX analysis is to always keep the DAX index price action at the front of your analysis. Always understand how the market moves, and what the most recent trend-defining level is.

I know this analysis sounds simple, but it’s the most overlooked technique by traders and market analysts. There is a common mistake to try to be too advanced sometimes, and this causes us to miss the obvious.

dax analysis