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Good morning traders!

  • I confirmed yesterday that my bias had changed to neutral/bearish
  • Today I have changed my settings on the RSI from bullish to bearish
  • I am looking for fib extension completion then a pullback to a sell zone
  • Nikkei “is in full meltdown mode” – rapidly approaching the Feb low, will Dax follow?
  • Current RSI settings: 5minute, 60 10 RSI, 14 periods

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I think a lot of traders and analysts turned bearish yesterday and unfortunately there are many traders out there still sat on ugly looking long positions, which could be painful especially if the Dax follows the acceleration of the Nikkei.

If we look at the hourly chart, then draw a fibonacci extension, I think tomorrow is likely to see us at least complete a 100% extension (using the end of March high, to the early April low, then the rebound) you will see an extension target of 9484. With a closing daily candle as heavy the one we saw yesterday, I would imagine we will see a number down there.

I would like to see a bounce from that level, perhaps up to 9700, then I will jump in and sell targeting a move down to the 9400 support.

Dax Support & Resistance

KEY LEVELS
Daily R2 9849
Daily R1 9686
Daily Pivot 9602
Daily S1 9439
Daily S2 9356
200 Day EMA 10193

Dax Charts

Download my chart layouts (for FXCM Marketscope)
06/04/2016

02 Daily Dax Chart

02 Daily Dax Chart

03 H4 Dax Chart

03 H4 Dax Chart

04 H1 Dax Chart

04 H1 Dax Chart

05 m30 Dax Chart

05 m30 Dax Chart

06 m5 Dax Chart

06 m5 Dax Chart