Dax Technical Analysis Week 35

DAX Major Trend

DAX Pitchfork

Always revisit the theory when looking at the charts. Members can use the advanced technical analysis resources, but for you non-members, study pitchforks and median line theory. Here’s a nice example of price reacting to the LMLH

Turnover in retail trade in Germany decreased 2.2% in July in real terms on a monthly basis and increased 4.4% on an annual basis, according to provisional data released by the country’s statistical office Destatis on Friday. In nominal terms, the same figures were 2.1% lower and 5.4% higher respectively.

In addition, turnover in retail trade in July fell by 2.2% in real terms and 2.1% nominally compared to June. Turnover in the first seven months of the year grew by 2.8% in real terms and 3.5% nominally compared to the same period last year.

Markets in Europe opened in the green on Friday on fresh trade optimism after China and the United States signalled they are set to resume trade negotiations. Beijing urged Washington to cancel the latest round of tariffs and resolve the trade dispute in a “calm” manner, while US President Donald Trump noted the two countries are holding trade discussions “at a different level.” Elsewhere, investors kept an eye on the latest Brexit developments after United Kingdom Prime Minister Boris Johnson suspended Parliament for five weeks, in what many saw as an attempt to prevent lawmakers from blocking a no-deal Brexit.

The DAX trading strategy is absolutely CRUSHING it today with multiple excellent entries. 

Congratulations to everybody who saw the opportunity to get along from the DAX trading strategy this morning just after 8 o’clock. This opportunity was the perfect entry. Notice how price was slowed down by the deviation high but continued to find momentum. If this move continues then 800 is the obvious target, and beyond that we look for a range break to a new high. The economic landscape does not look favourable so be careful about being too optimistic. A break above 11,860 would be excellent bullish progress, opening the door to a test of 12,000.

No video today

DAX Major Trend

A wide range continues on the DAX with the 800 level still repelling buyers. We seem to be making higher lows in the short-term and this morning’s rally certainly looks good for bulls hoping to see a break above 800.

DAX Basics

In ranges, it may pay to use an oscillator to find opportunities to trades. In this example, we are using the trusted techniques of RSI.

Dax Trading Signals from Yesterday

DaxTrader Index Signals, [28.08.19 11:00]
CLOSED TRADE 
ID: 21037968
Symbol: GER30
Return: -1.11%
Type: SELL
Open price: 11654.05
Closed at price: 11674.80

DaxTrader Index Signals, [28.08.19 17:31]
CLOSED TRADE 
ID: 21039115
Symbol: GER30
Return: 1.83%
Type: BUY
Open price: 11641.35
Closed at price: 11688.55

European stocks opened in the red on Thursday as the turmoil surrounding the United Kingdom’s departure from the European Union continued to take its toll on the markets. Queen Elizabeth II approved on Wednesday British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s decision to suspend Parliament until mid-October, leaving lawmakers with less time to discuss the country’s departure from the European Union. In other news, market watchers awaited the release of consumer data for the European Union and unemployment figures for Germany later in the day.

China’s Ministry of Commerce called on the United States on Thursday to reconsider introducing additional tariffs on Chinese imports from September, warning such action will result in an escalation of the trade war between the two countries.

The ministry’s spokesperson Gao Feng noted Beijing complained to Washington about the new measures and noted the two countries are in discussions about possible trade negotiations next month. He stressed, that if talks do happen, both sides should “create conditions” for progress on reaching an agreement and putting an end to the ongoing trade dispute.

Yesterday we saw the price action bounce from the value area of low (VAL) of Monday before reaching its high at 11 774.

This morning we have bounced from the VAL of yesterday, which was a similar level to the point of control (POC) from Monday, so that’s an interesting zone to watch.

If we manage to break above the value area high for yesterday which is 11 747, then it’s more likely we will break yesterday’s high and continue to move with some bullish momentum.

But my plan today is to stick to the DAX trading strategy.

DAX Major Trend

A wide range continues on the DAX with the 800 level still repelling buyers. We remain inside the monthly composite value area. Room to move to the downside. 

Dax Trading Signals

DaxTrader Index Signals, [27.08.19 09:00]
 CLOSED TRADE
 ID: 21029714
 Symbol: GER30
 Return: 0.08%
 Type: SELL
 Open price: 11643.57
 Closed at price: 11641.95

DaxTrader Index Signals, [27.08.19 09:05]
 CLOSED TRADE
 ID: 21029963
 Symbol: GER30
 Return: -1.00%
 Type: SELL
 Open price: 11633.33
 Closed at price: 11647.60
DaxTrader Index Signals, [27.08.19 09:14]
 CLOSED TRADE
 ID: 21029976
 Symbol: GER30
 Return: -1.13%
 Type: SELL
 Open price: 11645.19
 Closed at price: 11658.65
DaxTrader Index Signals, [27.08.19 13:52]
 CLOSED TRADE
 ID: 21030293
 Symbol: GER30
 Return: 4.02%
 Type: BUY
 Open price: 11674.47
 Closed at price: 11748.00

Last week we did not manage to make much progress above the 11850 zone and found the high printed from the 9th of August creating a wide range. So on the 60 minute time frame right now there is no clear direction or trend. We still sit inside the August value area digesting the moves from last week.

I took a short this morning at 11645 from the strategy (which was a little earlier than expected). So I may have jumped the gun but the trade started off well and got itself comfortably into profit. However, we have seen a balance just above 11 600 and price now looks to be running up towards the VWAP. It’s currently 637, but would be very very close to our initial entry – if we get there, then the trade will be closed at breakeven.

No Video Today 

DAX Major Trend

DAX Long Setups

The background yesterday morning was green so we would look for longs. As the candles turn green, we open a long position and put stop losses under the dots.

DAX Short Setups

The background yesterday morning was green so we would look for longs. As the candles turn green, we open a long position and put stop losses under the dots.

Germany’s Economy Minister Peter Altmaier told reporters on Tuesday that he is under the impression the United States wants to reach a solution on trade with the European Union, at the same time expressing concern regarding the forthcoming negotiations.

“Upcoming trade talks with US will be difficult,” Altmaier stated, noting that the EU is open to discussing “many questions” with Washington concerning trade. The minister was, however, upbeat regarding the outcome of the talks, saying that the downturn in global economy actually increases the prospects of reaching an agreement.