Is That A Bullish Megaphone Developing On DAX?
Monday Feb 15, 2021
We actually see the early stages of another bullish expanding pivots pattern developing, A.K.A the bullish megaphone. These patterns are rare because they require quite specific price action and it often fails before completing.
It’s a [rare] bullish continuation pattern, but keep an eye on it as it will suggest higher prices.
As for trading, it was a quiet day. We smashed a nice target from the morning’s FTSE signal, one stop loss from the DAX and the rest was quiet.
Daily Trading Signals (DAX & FTSE) Feb 15, 2021
Daily Trading Strategy (DAX & FTSE) Feb 15, 2021
DAX Retracement Levels After All-Time High
Thursday Feb 11, 2021
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 11 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 11 2021
Wednesday Feb 10, 2021
Ouch! Four stops from the daily signals today.
On the DTI trading strategy, the first signal was ignored because of the yellow candles and failure to retrace back to vwap. The second signal was a sell, but it was fortunate, because the very next candle was yellow. However this trade smashed the target!
On FTSE the price action was more choppy. The first signal was ignored, yellow candle with no vwap retracement, the next two signals (one either side of midday) both hit their stop loss. So DAX made the money today.
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 10 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 10 2021
Tuesday Feb 09, 2021
Only a 60 point retracement today and the DAX is currently trading at the 23.6% retracement from the two recent swings ([3] [4] on the chart above). Let’s see if we get a deeper pullback tomorrow or whether 14k manages to hold.
The FTSE trading signal this morning held on from a threatening position and was closed at 8pm this evening for a +0.75% profit. The DTI strategy was poor today, I have two DAX trades and two FTSE trades, all of which were stopped. Let’s move on.
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 09 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 09 2021
Monday Feb 08, 2021
For the DAX analysis this week, let’s plot the next DAX retracement levels after all-time high as when we have another correction pullback, those levels will likely be found. I’ll take a simple fib from the [3] [4] swings and look for confluence with the downsloping high-to-high trend line. When price reach that zone, I’ll be interested to see a bounce.
I took one trade from the DAX signals and one trade from the FTSE signals this morning. The DAX hit stop loss and the FTSE was closed at breakeven. The DTI trading strategy provided me with just the one signal, on the DAX, late into the session, and it closed at breakeven.
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 08 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 08 2021
Thursday Feb 04, 2021
NEW ALL TIME HIGH FOR THE DAX?
The German DAX closed at a record high on the Cash market, but the futures and derivates are still lagging behind a little. So is that the next move? It seems so based on the short-term moment we’ve had since the [3] pivot. Take a look at the update below of the thumbnail from the top. That shaded area I drew around 13,900 has pretty much acted as a swap zone. We’ve broken above the upsloper and kissed it goodbye and now currently trading above 14k (at the time of writing).
Euphoria continues to pump the markets through resistance and we have probably now get a brand new all-time high on the DAX.
The morning’s DAX & FTSE trading signals were all taken; both shorts filled (DAX and FTSE) and they were both stopped out for -1% each and then both longs were filled, but the trades ran until 8pm so I closed them out. DAX gained +1.15% and FTSE gained +1.01%, so I pretty much broke even on those.
As for the trading strategy, there was nothing to report, I literally took zero trades from it today. There are lots of functions and criterion in the indicator/strategy to filters out signals in specific trading conditions. Trading inside an intraday consolidation range is one of those filters, so the DAX yielded no signals until the afternoon. By the time that signal came, the market had already broken out and the candles were yellow.. No bueno. FTSE’s price action was very different. All trades were ignored for being yellow without a vwap retracement.
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 04 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 04 2021
Wednesday Feb 03, 2021
I am growing concerned with the stock markets at the moment, especially when I try to forecast another 6-12 months down the line. I currently see euphoric levels of speculation on the stonks, into industries that are performing TERRIBLY too – thanks to the pandemic restrictions. But their stock prices are going to the moon. This can only be speculative price action based on stimulus expectations, there is huge expectation that stimulus will cascade into failing industries. I won’t go into too much detail.
So we have a huge case of buy the rumour sell the news bubbling under the surface.
I’m a very strong believer that stimulus is actually paving the way for the complete ruin of the fiat monetary system, but it’s currently masking the real issue by presenting strength to the average Joe Bloggs of the general public: ‘everything is fine, there’s no problem here’ – when in actual fact there is an incredible wealth transfer happening behind the scenes and those not involved will foot the bill of the fallout.
As a tip, study the velocity of money and how this is a key driver for inflation. Once that starts picking up, it’s time to simplify down to an end game scenario.
Anyway… stepping down off my soapbox… here’s what I did yesterday
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 03 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 03 2021
Tuesday Feb 02, 2021
The DAX has rallied over 5% since the end of Jan; over 700 points, challenging 14k once more – a level we’ve only reach once before. If you scroll out and take a look at the price from the beginning of January to now, can you see how price action is forming a descending broadening wedge? The lower lows are expanding further than the highs, this could be bullish for the DAX.
Four stops yesterday. Two came from the 9am trading daily signals of which one was the DAX and one for FTSE. Whereas on the DTI trading strategy I did not have too many opportunities to trade. Most of the DAX signals were ignored with the afternoon trade running until 8pm, which I closed early at +1.9%. I hit two stops on FTSE and that’s my limit there.
So a poor day, but not a disaster.
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 02 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 02 2021
Monday Feb 01, 2021
So the DAX Targets 13,900 after reaching downside measured moved. I’ve taken a line from the [1] [2] swing and connected a parallel of that line to the downside break of the upsloping trend line to demonstrate the measured move.
I hit a nice target for a +4% gain from the FTSE trading strategy. But I had four stop losses across the day to leave me pretty much even. Sadge.
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 01 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 01 2021
DAX Targets 13,900 after reaching downside measured moved
Friday Feb 05, 2021
NEW ALL-TIME HIGH CONFIRMED
And there it is. The new all-time high was hit and 14k is now the new normal.
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 05 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 05 2021
Thursday Feb 04, 2021
NEW ALL TIME HIGH FOR THE DAX?
The German DAX closed at a record high on the Cash market, but the futures and derivates are still lagging behind a little. So is that the next move? It seems so based on the short-term moment we’ve had since the [3] pivot. Take a look at the update below of the thumbnail from the top. That shaded area I drew around 13,900 has pretty much acted as a swap zone. We’ve broken above the upsloper and kissed it goodbye and now currently trading above 14k (at the time of writing).
Euphoria continues to pump the markets through resistance and we have probably now get a brand new all-time high on the DAX.
The morning’s DAX & FTSE trading signals were all taken; both shorts filled (DAX and FTSE) and they were both stopped out for -1% each and then both longs were filled, but the trades ran until 8pm so I closed them out. DAX gained +1.15% and FTSE gained +1.01%, so I pretty much broke even on those.
As for the trading strategy, there was nothing to report, I literally took zero trades from it today. There are lots of functions and criterion in the indicator/strategy to filters out signals in specific trading conditions. Trading inside an intraday consolidation range is one of those filters, so the DAX yielded no signals until the afternoon. By the time that signal came, the market had already broken out and the candles were yellow.. No bueno. FTSE’s price action was very different. All trades were ignored for being yellow without a vwap retracement.
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 04 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 04 2021
Wednesday Feb 03, 2021
I am growing concerned with the stock markets at the moment, especially when I try to forecast another 6-12 months down the line. I currently see euphoric levels of speculation on the stonks, into industries that are performing TERRIBLY too – thanks to the pandemic restrictions. But their stock prices are going to the moon. This can only be speculative price action based on stimulus expectations, there is huge expectation that stimulus will cascade into failing industries. I won’t go into too much detail.
So we have a huge case of buy the rumour sell the news bubbling under the surface.
I’m a very strong believer that stimulus is actually paving the way for the complete ruin of the fiat monetary system, but it’s currently masking the real issue by presenting strength to the average Joe Bloggs of the general public: ‘everything is fine, there’s no problem here’ – when in actual fact there is an incredible wealth transfer happening behind the scenes and those not involved will foot the bill of the fallout.
As a tip, study the velocity of money and how this is a key driver for inflation. Once that starts picking up, it’s time to simplify down to an end game scenario.
Anyway… stepping down off my soapbox… here’s what I did yesterday
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 03 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 03 2021
Tuesday Feb 02, 2021
The DAX has rallied over 5% since the end of Jan; over 700 points, challenging 14k once more – a level we’ve only reach once before. If you scroll out and take a look at the price from the beginning of January to now, can you see how price action is forming a descending broadening wedge? The lower lows are expanding further than the highs, this could be bullish for the DAX.
Four stops yesterday. Two came from the 9am trading daily signals of which one was the DAX and one for FTSE. Whereas on the DTI trading strategy I did not have too many opportunities to trade. Most of the DAX signals were ignored with the afternoon trade running until 8pm, which I closed early at +1.9%. I hit two stops on FTSE and that’s my limit there.
So a poor day, but not a disaster.
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 02 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 02 2021
Monday Feb 01, 2021
So the DAX Targets 13,900 after reaching downside measured moved. I’ve taken a line from the [1] [2] swing and connected a parallel of that line to the downside break of the upsloping trend line to demonstrate the measured move.
I hit a nice target for a +4% gain from the FTSE trading strategy. But I had four stop losses across the day to leave me pretty much even. Sadge.
DAX Trading Signals Update Feb 01 2021
DAX Trading Strategy Update Feb 01 2021
DAX Technical Analysis Articles
These are daily DAX analysis articles. I have been watching the German DAX index every day since February 2014, when I quit my job to become a full-time trader. During my quest to become a professional market analyst and trader, I learnt as much about technical analysis as I could. The DAX is my favourite equity index to trade because it responds well to technical analysis tools such as market profile, swing analysis, volume profile, RSI divergence and various other technical indicators.
Effective DAX Technical Analysis Techniques
The most effective technique to improve your own DAX analysis is to always keep the DAX index price action at the front of your analysis. Always understand how the market moves, and what the most recent trend-defining level is.
I know this analysis sounds simple, but it’s the most overlooked technique by traders and market analysts. There is a common mistake to try to be too advanced sometimes, and this causes us to miss the obvious.
